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Guarded Optimism
Actual mood swings between manic giddiness to paranoid pessimism. Higher brain functionings, however, are processing the incoming data and telling me that the official stance is one of "guarded optimism. In other news, something seems to have gone badly wrong with the internets, or at least our office's connection to said nets. Is it possible that the election is producing some kind of system-wide strain on bandwidth?
November 2, 2004 | Permalink
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Comments
Is it possible that the election is producing some kind of system-wide strain on bandwidth?
Either through perfectly legitimate attempts to get information, or through massive DOS attempts to prevent certain information from spreading, that seems to almost certainly be happening.
Posted by: cmdicely | Nov 2, 2004 5:02:19 PM
Guarded! Raving optimism! 311 EV at least! Wonkette's sets 1 & 2 and Slate's.
Mars, my bitches!
Posted by: MattB | Nov 2, 2004 5:06:08 PM
I can't get Josh Micah Marshall, who's been breaking a lot of indimidation/ fraud stuff. No theory as to the reason.
I'm more than guardedly optimistic, barring Diebold-type problems. I think that a lot of Dems have the sportsfan superstition about jinxes.
Posted by: Zizka | Nov 2, 2004 5:09:15 PM
Either through perfectly legitimate attempts to get information, or through massive DOS attempts to prevent certain information from spreading, that seems to almost certainly be happening.
And it's worth noting that most of the people declaring it to be one or the other aren't qualified to distinguish between the two.
Posted by: tom | Nov 2, 2004 5:10:00 PM
And it's worth noting that most of the people declaring it to be one or the other aren't qualified to distinguish between the two.
That's quite true.
My impression -- and, no, I have no way of knowing if this is true -- is that its mostly legit use. Incredibly heavy news days tend to do that -- remember trying to get on news sites on 9/11? But now the blogosphere particularly is dragging the way news sites did on 9/11, but I don't think the blogosphere was really prepared for today to be their 9/11. News sites seem, generally, to be holding up okay, probably because most of them added capacity after the experience of 9/11 and subsequent heavy traffic events, and because some measure of interest has shifted to the blogs and other alternative online media.
Posted by: cmdicely | Nov 2, 2004 5:19:49 PM
The lack of connection IS weird, isn't it? At first, I was checking in on "righty" or mixed sites like Michael totten, or instapundit, but I also saw the same result for Talking Points. Weird.
Posted by: JC | Nov 2, 2004 5:19:58 PM
Some of the big sites hosted on Hosting Matters (Wizbang, Instapundit) are reporting heavy traffic with sporadic site outages. So yeah, the "internets" are bogged down in high traffic.
Posted by: The Zero Boss | Nov 2, 2004 5:20:36 PM
Josh's servers were down for hours this afternoon. He's back up now.
Posted by: Swift Loris | Nov 2, 2004 5:27:40 PM
"Actual mood swings between manic giddiness to paranoid pessimism."
Moi aussi. I voted this morning (5th in line) went to work and now I am going to be glued to Cspan and drinking heavily. If things go the way we hope, I plan to turn on Fox around midnight (or later) to enjoy the meltdown.
Posted by: Grotesqueticle | Nov 2, 2004 5:27:49 PM
That makes sense, Zero Boss. Thanks!
Posted by: JC | Nov 2, 2004 5:35:05 PM
Actual mood swings between manic giddiness to paranoid pessimism.
What are you talking about? What mood swings?
There is no contest - the crazies are gone, done for, crawling back under the rock. Paranoid pessimism my ass.
Posted by: abb1 | Nov 2, 2004 5:38:15 PM
gwb plummeting on tradesports, falling on iem. from what i can tell volumes actually seem reasonable... now if i'd only done what matt had suggested and put some money on kerry i might be able to afford some champagne...
Posted by: anand | Nov 2, 2004 5:45:43 PM
You should try guarded drunkenness. Here, the mood has vacillated between anrgy shouting (CNN whores on TV) and giddy kickassedness.
Posted by: phil | Nov 2, 2004 6:00:49 PM
I tried to put 100 bucks on Kerry on tradesports last week but it would not take my credit card. oh well.
Posted by: JoeO | Nov 2, 2004 6:04:19 PM
Sorry guys, drunkenness is not a variable. That's my secret -- how I manage to remain charming in the most trying of circumstances.
Posted by: Zizka | Nov 2, 2004 6:05:37 PM
Watching MSNBC Live with closed captioning, and the "President's top survivors have gone to the war room."
Why the hell can't they afford a good court reporter?
For me "guarded optimism" means I am sewing leather pieces into my denim jacket, instead of steel plates.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Nov 2, 2004 6:28:26 PM
Wonkette appears to be down.
I am anxious for more numbers, trying to feel calmly confident, woorying that there's still the possibility for mischief. But I thought turnout would be the difference, and I'm sticking with it.
Posted by: weboy | Nov 2, 2004 6:37:09 PM
Matt, he will win. You know it. Be an optimist with me tonight.
Posted by: Alina | Nov 2, 2004 7:03:33 PM
Internet seems fine, both my own little piece of it and also the
various probes and traces out there - like the UCLA internet weather report
http://www.noc.ucla.edu/networking/weather.html
Seems to me like its the usual edge (server) overload due to usage.
Posted by: Marshall | Nov 2, 2004 7:48:38 PM
Oh, also the NANOG (North American Network Operators Group) list is quiet - always the first place to report any large scale problems. So, the Internet seems fine all over.
Posted by: Marshall | Nov 2, 2004 7:51:56 PM
It's been a bit haphazard out here in OR - Slate was unavailable for a bit, Salon got jammed, and those should - I imagine, anyway - be prepared for massive demand. dKos prob needs liquid nitrogen packs to cool the servers. For the hi-traffic blogs, it's like intense gaming - AS IT SHOULD BE! Get your most heroic avatar in gear, Matt - Team Blue!
Posted by: grishaxxx | Nov 2, 2004 7:58:50 PM
Correction :
The Internet weather report is at
http://weather.uci.edu/
But it's still all green.
Marshall
Posted by: Marshall | Nov 2, 2004 8:06:03 PM
I'm going with guarded drunkeness and Midwestern comfort food...
Posted by: Jackmormon | Nov 2, 2004 8:31:15 PM
Thank god some of us have left-over Halloween candy for that nice sugar high, cause some of us have stomachs that are a lot more sensitive to alcohol now than when we were in our 20s.
Posted by: The Dark Avenger | Nov 2, 2004 10:09:37 PM
