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Things I've Never Worried About Before

I don't really now how reliable Gregg Easterbrook is as an astronomy commenter, but this bit of whimsy is probably worth a second thought:

Are Gamma-Ray Bursts the Mushrooms Clouds of Outer Space?: Gamma-ray bursts are the most powerful events humanity has observed. In some, for an instant one point in deep space appears to emit more energy than all the stars of a galaxy combined; the brightest recorded such burst, whose light reached Earth in 1998, was so intense that for an instant the source seemed more luminous than the entire universe combined. Relatively long gamma-ray bursts are believed caused by the collapse of giant stars much more massive than our sun. Last week, astronomers in several countries jointly declared their belief, based on results from a spacecraft NASA launched to study gamma bursts, that brief gamma-ray bursts are caused by collisions of neutron stars, which are the dense remnants of old, dying stars.

Maybe this analysis is right, but allow me (actually, you can't stop me) to repeat a fear I expressed here last year: that gamma bursts are muzzle flashes, "the emission lines of horrific weapons being used by civilizations that have acquired fantastic knowledge compared to us, but no additional wisdom." The standard pop-cultural assumption is that advanced aliens will be benevolent, freed of primitive belligerence. What if instead space aliens are at the Henry Kissinger level of development in terms of morality -- but equipped with star drive and gamma bombs? It just seems spooky as if we might be observing the evidence of distant combat using weapons of cataclysmic power.

Let's hope the professionals have that right.

October 13, 2005 | Permalink

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Comments

It is for precisely this reason that I support the President's decision to launch a pre-emptive invasion of Alpha Centauri.

Posted by: Rob | Oct 13, 2005 12:50:34 AM

SF fans help me out here. Good short about aliens exploding stars as a form of pest control. James Tiptree or Larry Niven?

Posted by: bob mcmanus | Oct 13, 2005 3:14:37 AM

Speaking as a soon-to-be graduate student in astrophysics: you don't need to worry about this one. Trust me.

On the other hand, that's not to say that a random nearby star won't unexpectedly go supernova and emit a gamma ray burst that will vaporize all life on half the earth's surface without any warning ...

Posted by: Peter | Oct 13, 2005 3:18:19 AM

The standard pop-culture assumption is that advanced aliens will be benevolent, freed of primitive belligerence????? Someone watched too much "Next Generation".

Posted by: Kermit | Oct 13, 2005 3:26:11 AM

Easterbrook was complaining last week about "Battlestar Galactica" (mark II) being annoyingly dark and cynical. I didn't read his argument cause he was spoiling things for those who are waiting to watch season 1 on DVD. It seems safe to say, the generally la la we're all happy in the future vision is the one he prefers.

Posted by: Dan P. | Oct 13, 2005 7:02:06 AM

One of the experts on gamma-ray bursts thinks that homophobia is good.

http://wuphys.wustl.edu/~katz/defense.html

Posted by: david | Oct 13, 2005 7:57:44 AM

It won't vaporize us--not exactly. But the Implications for widespread intelligent life in the Cosmos are disturbing.

Posted by: Wrye | Oct 13, 2005 9:50:46 AM

Let's not forget the recent magnetar quake (a magnetar is a highly magnetic neutron star). It was a good 50 thousand light years away (halfway across the galaxy) and it put out enough radiation that it would have endangered any spacewalkers in earth orbit. Fortunately, nobody was out at the time.

One of those things goes off in your backyard, it could sterilize the facing side of a planet. Puts Katrina in a scary sort of perspective.

Posted by: Eric | Oct 13, 2005 11:47:30 AM

Cool, a new thing to worry about.

Posted by: Joe O | Oct 13, 2005 1:49:26 PM

That's so specist! Everybody knows it was aliens who wrote "To Serve Man."

;-)

Posted by: Mumon | Oct 13, 2005 2:22:56 PM

Ewwwwwww...the thought of people flinging matter anti-matter weapons at each others planets!

Maybe each of these blasts is from some world a couple decades ahead of us who just figured out how to shift matter quanta into anti-matter or directly into energy. A lack of proper engineering for dampening/controlling the reaction results in an wildfire conversion process that converts the whole planet into one massive blast of energy.

Ouch!! The profits of progress. A beacon to the idea carefulness and watching out for Murphy!!

Posted by: wayne | Oct 13, 2005 3:11:58 PM

It's no Supervolcano.

Posted by: Kriston | Oct 13, 2005 3:26:39 PM

Easterbrook seems about as reliable on astronomy as he is on 90 percent of the subjects he writes about: not at all.

Posted by: Doug | Oct 13, 2005 5:28:48 PM

But just think of the superpowers we'd acquire!

EASTERBROOK SMASH!

I, for one, welcome our gamma-wielding alien overlords.

Posted by: Royko | Oct 14, 2005 2:43:59 AM

If you tell the new overlords how great they are, you might just land yourself a cushy job in the alien aministration.

Really

/Limagolf

Posted by: Limagolf | Oct 14, 2005 4:54:54 AM

Easterbrock, as usual, knows absolutely nothing about what he's talking about. Gamma ray bursts were one of the great cosmic mysteries of our time - until we got the first decisive clues about their origin in 1997. We now know what causes them; we've seen the associated afterglows and the physical phenomena that they're associated with. See

http://rotse1.physics.lsa.umich.edu/summary/

for a summary of the actual science.
And they probably don't have much, if anything, to do with making galaxies hostile to life - although this is still popular in some quarters. Briefly, it's likely that they only occur when there are massive metal-poor stars, which only formed when the universe was young and before it had planets. They're extremely rare in the universe today, but were much more common in the distant past...before there were any planets with life to disrupt.

Posted by: Marc | Oct 14, 2005 10:24:27 PM

I think the assumption of greater benevolence in more technologically advanced civilizations hinges on something like the point of that Krauthammer column last week: If it weren't the case, the civilization in question probably wouldn't be around terribly long given weapons of that kind of power.

Posted by: Julian Sanchez | Oct 15, 2005 6:38:07 PM

I don't really know how reliable Gregg Easterbrook is as an astronomy commenter...

You can find a hint in this article in which Easterbrook confuses string theory-style extra dimensions with scifi-style "alternate dimensions" and then starts talking about an extra dimension of the "spirit plane".

Posted by: Andrew Kanaber | Oct 15, 2005 9:29:19 PM

Arthur C Clarke has suggested the possibility that "supernovae are industrial accidents" -- for example in this editorial and the novel "3001". He also admits: "This is an interesting hypothesis, but it's very difficult to test!"

Posted by: Gordon Mohr | Oct 16, 2005 8:53:29 PM

I actually had fun with GRBs in a science "fact" article published in Analog in 1994. At the time, no associated radiation had been detected. A known reaction that produces pure gamma rays is matter-antimatter annihilation, so-o it was fun to theorize that we were seeing the exhaust plumes of starships.

The big problem, even at the time, with that theory, and with Easterbrook's one, is that the distribution of GRB's is random and relatively uniform in all directions. If these are aliens shooting at each other, they must have *really* bad aim.

Marc, Eric, and Peter in the comments above add good info and useful links.

Posted by: quixote | Oct 16, 2005 11:34:25 PM

Where's Herman ("Doomsday Machine") Kahn when you really need him?

Posted by: Lionel Mandrake | Oct 17, 2005 11:21:07 AM

hey matthew, are your parents names ray and beth? if so, i worked with your dad a number of years ago in a. l. williams. would love to hear from them.
larry

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